Dollar Falls to $5.13, Focusing on US

Key Takeaways

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President Trumps State of the Union address, while not explicitly mentioning China, has raised concerns about potential repercussions in the midterm elections due to a decline in his approval ratings and focus on domestic economic matters.
Investors are closely watching Nvidias after-hours earnings report, given existing concerns in the AI sector, and Fed speakers throughout the day for insights into market trends.
In Brazil, the central government announced a primary surplus of 86.9 billion reais for January, exceeding projections, and the release of weekly currency flow data is anticipated.
The political landscape in Brazil is tight between Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential second-round election, with each candidate polling around 46%, following some negative reactions to the Academicos de Niteroi march. These economic and political developments are shaping todays market activity.

Market Activity Shaped by US Politics, Nvidia Earnings, Brazil Surplus, Fed Speeches, and Brazilian Election

During last night’s State of the Union address, President Trump did not mention China, ahead of his upcoming trip. He addressed both geopolitical issues, such as Iran and the case against former Venezuelan President Maduro, and domestic economic matters, including inflation, trade tariffs, and stock market performance. The speech coincided with a decline in his approval ratings, fueling concerns about potential repercussions in the midterm elections. Today, investors are keenly focused on Nvidia’s after-hours earnings report, given existing concerns in the AI sector. Investors will also closely monitor remarks from Fed speakers throughout the day. In Brazil, the central government announced a primary surplus of 86.9 billion reais for January, surpassing the projected 88.8 billion reais. The release of weekly currency flow data is also anticipated. Politically, an Atlas Intel survey (via G1) indicates a very tight race between Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro in a potential second-round election, with each candidate polling around 46%, following some negative reactions to the Academicos de Niteroi march. These economic and political developments are setting the stage for today’s market activity.

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