Dollar and Ibovespa Drop

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On Friday, October 27, the Brazilian Ibovespa stock index fell 0.64% to 181,557 points, while the dollar closed down 0.28% at R$5.2414. Investors remained pessimistic, driven by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East and its potential impact on global oil supply. As the conflict nears its one-month mark on Saturday, October 28, escalating actions are fueling market anxiety. Israel announced it will expand attacks on Iran, targeting an Iranian navy missile production center and a uranium enrichment plant. The Wall Street Journal reports that the United States may further reinforce its troop presence in the Middle East by 10,000 soldiers. Concurrently, former President Trump postponed potential attacks on Iranian energy facilities for another 10 days. Oil prices have responded to these developments by trending upward. Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose 5.05% to $113.06 around 5:00 PM, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, advanced 5.21% to $99.69. [Potentially consider deleting the rest of this paragraph. It’s not adding to the value of the article and pulling away from the topic.] Additional market data from March 23, 2023, included the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rate decision and press conference. On that day: The euro was worth $1.0906.

The SP 500 closed at 4,078.58. The Nikkei 225 opened at 28,136.97. The FTSE 100 ended the day at 7,944.12. A barrel of West Texas Intermediate crude oil cost $75.86, and Brent crude oil went for $84.69 per barrel. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note was 3.78%. Gold sold for $1,857.60 per troy ounce, and silver for $21.96 per troy ounce. The Natural Gas spot price (Henry Hub) was $2.87 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). The U.S. Dollar Index finished the day at 102.645, and the VIX (Volatility Index) closed at 28.79. On March 28, 2023, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index started at 25,782.64. Over the past week, the five companies with the biggest gains were Vale (VALE3), Banco BTG Pactual (BPAC11), B3 Brasil Bolsa Balcao (B3SA3), WEG (WEGE3), and Ambev (ABEV3). Sam Peters, a portfolio manager at Clearbridge Investments, told Reuters that if the situation in the Middle East is not resolved within the next two weeks, global oil stocks will fall to historic lows, necessitating price increases to reduce demand.

Unemployment Rate in Brazil Rises; USD/JPY Maintains Neutral Outlook with Potential Resistance at 159.88

In Brazil, economic data released indicated that the unemployment rate for the quarter ending in February stood at 5.8%, exceeding market expectations of 5.7%, according to G1. The USD/JPY (U.S. dollar/Japanese yen) currency pair is rebounding but has not yet surpassed its short-term peak of 159.88. Current analysis suggests a neutral outlook for USD/JPY. Potential support for the pair lies around 156.96, representing the 38.2% retracement level from 152.25 to 159.88. Resistance is expected at 159.88; a break above this level could lead to a test of the 161.94 high. If the upward trend from the 2021 low of 102.58 persists, it could continue through 161.94, provided the 55-day moving average (currently at 152.70) remains stable. A decisive break above 161.94 may target 176.75. Disclaimer: This text does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the Uai portal.

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