Dollar Opens Lower Amidst US Data Release

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As of 10:20 am this Friday (20th), the dollar began trading down 0.25 at R$5.2139. Concurrently, Brazil’s Ibovespa stock exchange index was down 0.58, at 187,442 points. The U.S. economic calendar holds significant weight due to the United States’ position as the world’s largest economy, influencing key currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY. Economic indicators from organizations such as the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the Census Bureau, and the Energy Information Administration are closely watched. Decisions made by the Federal Reserve, typically announced by Governor Jerome Powell, also have a major impact. The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, a key inflation measure used by the Federal Reserve, will be released. The economic calendar displays data on a timeline, using checkmarks to indicate released data and light grey lines to show current positions. FXStreet has identified key economic events that may significantly impact trading in the coming months: 1. Federal Reserve (FED) Interest Rate Decision 2. FOMC Minutes 3. Non-Farm Payrolls 4. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 5. Retail Sales Control Group 6. Nondefense Capital Goods Orders ex Aircraft.

Monitoring these events is essential, as they can significantly shape market movements. The economic calendar allows users to enable sound alerts for all releases. Flag icons indicate the country of data release and the corresponding currency. The anticipated impact of a data release on currencies is indicated by yellow, orange, or red bars. For each indicator, the “Previous” number shows data from the last release. Most indicators also include a “Consensus” number, representing the expert community’s common prediction. The “Actual” data appears to the right of the volatility indicator upon release and is displayed in green if the result is better than expected, or in red if worse. FXStreet’s unique “Deviation” ratio measures the surprise factor of an event when the actual data differs from the consensus, typically ranging from -7 to 7. Clicking an event name provides further information, including Editor’s Notes, an Event Description, a link to the official report, and a link to the Dashboard page. The following additional information is also available: 1. The Current Release is available at a specific URL. 2. Release Dates, Country Data, Nominal/Real Indexes, Currency Weights, G.5 release, and G.5A release data are available at specific URLs.

3. An About page, Announcements, and Technical Q&As are available at specific URLs. 4. Bilateral exchange rate data is updated every Monday at 4:15 p.m. 5. The “View chart” feature was retired from the Data Download Program (DDP) on December 18. Interactive charts for DDP Board data releases can be accessed at Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/collection/federalreserveboarddata 6. Since June 24, 2019, the Federal Reserve Board staff has been modifying the indexation of the daily Broad, AFE, and EME dollar indexes. An update release is scheduled for February 17, 2026. 7. Available data periods include 2000 to Present, 1990-99, and up to 1989. Turning to other market factors, oil prices remain in focus after a recent surge due to tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Concerns persist that the conflict may escalate and impact the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil trade route. The U.S. Supreme Court may also rule on the legality of tariff hikes imposed by President Donald Trump, following a Department of Justice appeal against a previous court decision.

Impact of Brazil’s Employment and Oil Price Trends on Stock Markets (Ibovespa) – Fourth Quarter Data Released

In Brazil, the economic agenda is lighter, with the release of the fourth-quarter unemployment rate by the PNAD Continua. According to the IBGE, unemployment fell in six states during the fourth quarter of 2025, while remaining stable in other federal units. Market expectations in the U.S. suggest a 0.3% month-on-month rise and a 2.8% year-on-year increase. Fourth-quarter GDP figures are projected to show growth of 3.0%. Preliminary data on service sector and industry activity will also be released. This oil price surge could influence Petrobras shares, which rose 2.49% in the previous session and typically impact the Ibovespa. Source: G1 Disclaimer: This text does not necessarily reflect the opinion of Portal Uai.

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