Key Takeaways
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- The US dollar fell to its lowest value since May 24 against the South African Rand, while Brazils Ibovespa stock index reached a record high.
- Preliminary January inflation data from Ipec15 in Brazil showed a slight decrease compared to projected figures.
- Both the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) in Brazil and the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the US are expected to maintain current interest rates on Super Thursday.
- There are concerns about potential political pressures influencing the appointment of the next Fed chair, which could lead to premature interest rate cuts. Additionally, there is growing concern over a potential government shutdown in the US and renewed focus on Homeland Security issues following protests in Minnesota. Meanwhile, the EU and India have finalized a major trade agreement, forming one of the worlds largest free trade zones.
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On Tuesday, the dollar fell 1.41 percent to R5.2056, its lowest value since May 24. Meanwhile, Brazil’s Ibovespa stock index increased by 1.79 percent, reaching a record closing high of 181,919 points. The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) released preliminary January inflation data from Ipec15, revealing a 0.20 increase, slightly below the projected 0.22. The IBGE announcement precedes key interest rate decisions in Brazil and the U.S. on what has been called “Super Thursday.” Market consensus anticipates that the Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain current rates. Investors are also closely monitoring former President Trump’s impending appointment of the next Fed chair, amid concerns that political pressures could force premature interest rate cuts, potentially undermining the central bank’s autonomy. Concerns are growing in the U.S. as a potential government shutdown looms due to Congressional disagreements over budget and security issues. Market anxiety has also increased following Trump’s revised position on the situation in Minnesota, where protests have intensified after a man’s death while in Border Patrol custody, renewing the focus on Homeland Security.
EU and India Finalize Major Trade Agreement, Forming One of World’s Largest Free Trade Zones
Separately, the EU and India have finalized a major trade agreement after two decades of negotiations, creating one of the world’s largest free trade zones, encompassing nearly two billion people.
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