Key Takeaways
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- The U.S. dollar experienced a minor decline at the beginning of trading on Monday, trading around R$5.2749.
- Brazils Central Bank has lowered their forecasted inflation for 2026 from 4.02% to 4.0%, with a projected Selic rate decrease to 12.25% by year-end and GDP growth of 1.8%.
- There are speculations about the appointment of the next Federal Reserve chair in the U.S., which has raised concerns about the Feds independence due to potential political influence.
- Despite ongoing global uncertainties, Brazils Ibovespa index saw a significant increase of 1.86% on Friday, surpassing 178,000 points, demonstrating resilience amidst market volatility.
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The dollar opened today’s trading session with a 0.22% decrease, trading at approximately R$5.2749 by 9:00 AM. Brazil’s Ibovespa stock index began its trading day at 10:00 AM. As the last week of January begins, potential shifts in U.S. monetary policy and global politics are anticipated. In Brazil, the Central Bank’s latest Focus Bulletin indicates that economists have lowered their inflation forecast for 2026 from 4.02% to 4.0%. The bulletin also projects the Selic rate to decrease to 12.25% by the end of the year, GDP growth at 1.8%, and the dollar closing at R$5.51. In the U.S., analysts speculate about the appointment of the next Federal Reserve chair. There are reports that Donald Trump may announce Jerome Powell’s successor this week, raising concerns about the Fed’s independence. Trump has also threatened Canada with 100% tariffs if the country pursues a trade agreement with China. However, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has stated that Canada is not seeking such a deal. These developments, along with the potential for a U.S. government shutdown, have contributed to investor uncertainty. A government shutdown may occur because Democrats oppose the budget without security changes, following the fatal shooting of Alex Pretti by federal agents.
Global Gains in Brazil’s Ibovespa Amidst Ongoing Uncertainties
Despite these global uncertainties, Brazil’s Ibovespa index closed up 1.86% at 178,858.54 points on Friday, surpassing 178,000 points. It also reached a high of 180,532.28 points, briefly exceeding 180,000.
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